Favorites to Win the 2025 World Series

• Dodgers lead 2025 World Series projections with 19.5%
• Yankees, Tigers, and Mariners follow
• FanGraphs releases estimates ahead of the World Series

With the 2025 MLB regular season entering its final stretch, several franchises are emerging as title favorites, according to the latest statistical projections from FanGraphs, cited by journalist Enrique Rojas.

Teams with the highest probability of winning the 2025 World Series:

1. Los Angeles Dodgers – 19.5%

2. New York Yankees – 11.0%

3. Detroit Tigers – 8.8%

4. Seattle Mariners – 8.8%

5. Toronto Blue Jays – 8.7%

6. Philadelphia Phillies – 8.1%

7. Milwaukee Brewers – 7.8%

8. New York Mets – 6.5%

9. San Diego Padres – 5.9%

The Dodgers top the 2025 MLB Season projections with nearly 20% odds, while the Yankees, Tigers, and Mariners strengthen the American League’s presence in the leading spots. The rest of the top is dominated by franchises with consistent high performance.

WORLD SERIES WIN PROBABILITIES (FANGRAPHS)

Dodgers 19.5%
Yankees 11.0%
Tigers 8.8%
Mariners 8.8%
Blue Jays 8.7%
Phillies 8.1%
Brewers 7.8%
Mets 6.5%
Padres 5.9%

— Enrique Rojas/ESPN (@Enrique_Rojas1) August 29, 2025

Methodology Based on Advanced Statistics

FanGraphs takes into account factors such as run differential, collective WAR, starting rotation, bullpen, and strength of the remaining schedule.

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